Florida would see the largest increase in its uninsured population if ACA premium tax credits are not extended, and Medicaid work requirements and other changes are implemented, according to KFF.
Lawmakers are considering a reconciliation package that would implement Medicaid work requirements. The provisions in the bill are evolving, but the Congressional Budget Office estimates 8.6 million more people will be uninsured by 2034.
In an analysis published May 21, KFF estimated how the increase in uninsured individuals would be distributed across states.
Here’s how much the uninsured rate will increase in every state by 2034, according to KFF estimates:
Florida
Uninsured increase: 1.8 million
Percentage point increase: 7%
District of Columbia:
Uninsured increase: 38,000
Percentage point increase: 5%
Georgia
Uninsured increase: 610,000
Percentage point increase: 5%
Louisiana
Uninsured increase: 260,000
Percentage point increase: 5%
Mississippi
Uninsured increase: 150,000
Percentage point increase: 5%
Texas
Uninsured increase: 1.6 million
Percentage point increase: 5%
Washington
Uninsured increase: 440,000
Percentage point increase: 5%
Arizona
Uninsured increase: 320,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Arkansas
Uninsured increase: 120,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
California
Uninsured increase: 1,500,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Connecticut
Uninsured increase: 140,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Delaware
Uninsured increase: 40,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Illinois
Uninsured increase: 480,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Kentucky
Uninsured increase: 190,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
New Jersey
Uninsured increase: 350,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
New Mexico
Uninsured increase: 86,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
New York
Uninsured increase: 810,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
North Carolina
Uninsured increase: 470,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Oklahoma
Uninsured increase: 150,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Oregon
Uninsured increase: 210,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
South Carolina
Uninsured increase: 230,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Utah
Uninsured increase: 150,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
West Virginia
Uninsured increase: 65,000
Percentage point increase: 4%
Alabama
Uninsured increase: 170,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Alaska
Uninsured increase: 25,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Colorado
Uninsured increase: 180,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Indiana
Uninsured increase: 230,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Iowa
Uninsured increase: 83,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Maine
Uninsured increase: 38,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Massachusetts
Uninsured increase: 200,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Michigan
Uninsured increase: 300,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Minnesota
Uninsured increase: 180,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Missouri
Uninsured increase: 190,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Montana
Uninsured increase: 41,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Ohio
Uninsured increase: 400,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Pennsylvania
Uninsured increase: 340,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Rhode Island
Uninsured increase: 40,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Tennessee
Uninsured increase: 250,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Vermont
Uninsured increase: 18,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Virginia
Uninsured increase: 250,000
Percentage point increase: 3%
Hawaii
Uninsured increase: 33,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Idaho
Uninsured increase: 44,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Kansas
Uninsured increase: 61,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Maryland
Uninsured increase: 160,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Nebraska
Uninsured increase: 45,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Nevada
Uninsured increase: 75,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
New Hampshire
Uninsured increase: 24,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
North Dakota
Uninsured increase: 21,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
South Dakota
Uninsured increase: 17,000
Percentage point increase: 2%
Wyoming
Uninsured increase: 9,500
Percentage point increase: 2%
Wisconsin
Uninsured increase: 82,000
Percentage point increase: 1%
