S&P analysts estimate between 10.6 million and 11.4 million enrollees will choose a plan on the public market in the upcoming enrollment period. This is down from 12.2 million enrollees tallied during the 2017 open enrollment season.
“We are forecasting fewer people signing up in 2018 than during previous open enrollments. Our forecast took into account multiple factors, including the expectation of reduced active outreach at the federal level, a reduced broker presence in the individual market, shorter enrollment periods and higher nonsubsidized premiums,” the analysts said.
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